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早稲田大学 創造理工学研究科 経営システム工学専攻 2015年8月実施 概率统计

Author

思齐塾, 祭音Myyura

Description

確率変数(random variable) XX は正規分布(normal distribution) N(20,22)N(20, 2^2) に従い、確率変数 YY は正規分布 N(50,32)N(50, 3^2) に従い、確率変数 ZZ は正規分布 N(5,12)N(5, 1^2) に従う。また、これらは互いに独立である。このとき、 W=2X+YZW = 2X + Y - Z はどのような確率分布(probability distribution)に従うか(証明は不要).

题目描述

随机变量

XN(20,22),YN(50,32),ZN(5,12)X\sim N(20,2^2),\qquad Y\sim N(50,3^2),\qquad Z\sim N(5,1^2)

且三者相互独立。求

W=2X+YZW=2X+Y-Z

服从什么概率分布,无需证明。

Kai

Since XX , YY , and ZZ are independent normal random variables, W=2X+YZW = 2X + Y - Z is also a normal random variable.

The mean of WW is:

E[W]=E[2X+YZ]=2E[X]+E[Y]E[Z]=2(20)+505=40+505=85E[W] = E[2X + Y - Z] = 2E[X] + E[Y] - E[Z] = 2(20) + 50 - 5 = 40 + 50 - 5 = 85

The variance of WW is:

Var[W]=Var[2X+YZ]=22Var[X]+Var[Y]+(1)2Var[Z]=4Var[X]+Var[Y]+Var[Z]=4(22)+32+12=4(4)+9+1=16+9+1=26Var[W] = Var[2X + Y - Z] = 2^2Var[X] + Var[Y] + (-1)^2Var[Z] = 4Var[X] + Var[Y] + Var[Z] = 4(2^2) + 3^2 + 1^2 = 4(4) + 9 + 1 = 16 + 9 + 1 = 26

Therefore, WW follows a normal distribution with mean 85 and variance 26, i.e., WN(85,26)W \sim N(85, 26) . Since the problem statement expects the variance in squared form, we can write it as N(85,(26)2)N(85, (\sqrt{26})^2) .