早稲田大学 創造理工学研究科 経営システム工学専攻 2015年8月実施 概率统计
Author
思齐塾 , 祭音Myyura
Description
確率変数(random variable) X X X は正規分布(normal distribution) N ( 20 , 2 2 ) N(20, 2^2) N ( 20 , 2 2 ) に従い、確率変数 Y Y Y は正規分布 N ( 50 , 3 2 ) N(50, 3^2) N ( 50 , 3 2 ) に従い、確率変数 Z Z Z は正規分布 N ( 5 , 1 2 ) N(5, 1^2) N ( 5 , 1 2 ) に従う。また、これらは互いに独立である。このとき、 W = 2 X + Y − Z W = 2X + Y - Z W = 2 X + Y − Z はどのような確率分布(probability distribution)に従うか(証明は不要).
题目描述
随机变量
X ∼ N ( 20 , 2 2 ) , Y ∼ N ( 50 , 3 2 ) , Z ∼ N ( 5 , 1 2 ) X\sim N(20,2^2),\qquad
Y\sim N(50,3^2),\qquad
Z\sim N(5,1^2) X ∼ N ( 20 , 2 2 ) , Y ∼ N ( 50 , 3 2 ) , Z ∼ N ( 5 , 1 2 )
且三者相互独立。求
服从什么概率分布,无需证明。
Kai
Since X X X , Y Y Y , and Z Z Z are independent normal random variables, W = 2 X + Y − Z W = 2X + Y - Z W = 2 X + Y − Z is also a normal random variable.
The mean of W W W is:
E [ W ] = E [ 2 X + Y − Z ] = 2 E [ X ] + E [ Y ] − E [ Z ] = 2 ( 20 ) + 50 − 5 = 40 + 50 − 5 = 85 E[W] = E[2X + Y - Z] = 2E[X] + E[Y] - E[Z] = 2(20) + 50 - 5 = 40 + 50 - 5 = 85 E [ W ] = E [ 2 X + Y − Z ] = 2 E [ X ] + E [ Y ] − E [ Z ] = 2 ( 20 ) + 50 − 5 = 40 + 50 − 5 = 85
The variance of W W W is:
V a r [ W ] = V a r [ 2 X + Y − Z ] = 2 2 V a r [ X ] + V a r [ Y ] + ( − 1 ) 2 V a r [ Z ] = 4 V a r [ X ] + V a r [ Y ] + V a r [ Z ] = 4 ( 2 2 ) + 3 2 + 1 2 = 4 ( 4 ) + 9 + 1 = 16 + 9 + 1 = 26 Var[W] = Var[2X + Y - Z] = 2^2Var[X] + Var[Y] + (-1)^2Var[Z] = 4Var[X] + Var[Y] + Var[Z] = 4(2^2) + 3^2 + 1^2 = 4(4) + 9 + 1 = 16 + 9 + 1 = 26 Va r [ W ] = Va r [ 2 X + Y − Z ] = 2 2 Va r [ X ] + Va r [ Y ] + ( − 1 ) 2 Va r [ Z ] = 4 Va r [ X ] + Va r [ Y ] + Va r [ Z ] = 4 ( 2 2 ) + 3 2 + 1 2 = 4 ( 4 ) + 9 + 1 = 16 + 9 + 1 = 26
Therefore, W W W follows a normal distribution with mean 85 and variance 26, i.e., W ∼ N ( 85 , 26 ) W \sim N(85, 26) W ∼ N ( 85 , 26 ) . Since the problem statement expects the variance in squared form, we can write it as N ( 85 , ( 26 ) 2 ) N(85, (\sqrt{26})^2) N ( 85 , ( 26 ) 2 ) .